The Role of Thinking & Probabilities in Predictive Intelligence
  • Critical & Deliberate Thinking
  • The Probability Tree, Pt 1
  • Safecracker Exercise
  • The Probability Tree, Pt 2
  • Jelly Bean Exercise
  • The Probability Tree, Pt 3
  • The Role of Thinking & Probabilities
Utility Analysis for Predictive Intelligence
  • The Utility Tree, Pt 1
  • The Utility Tree, Pt 2
  • The Utility Tree, Pt 3
  • The Utility Matrix
  • Yom Kippur War of 1973
  • Advanced Utility Analysis, Pt 1
  • NBA Players' Strike
  • Advanced Utility Analysis, Pt 2
  • Utility Analysis Quiz
Bayes Rule
  • An Introduction to Bayes
  • Using Excel for Bayes Rule Calculations
  • Calculating Total Probability
  • Applying Bayesian Thinking
  • Applying Bayesian Thinking
  • Multiple Hypothesis Testing
  • Applying Bayes to Multiple Hypotheses Testing
  • Applying Bayes to Multiple Hypotheses Testing
  • Applied Predictive Intelligence Analysis, Pt 1
  • Applied Predictive Intelligence Analysis, Part 2
  • Bayes Rule Quiz
Conclusion
  • Predictive Intelligence
  • Make a Forecast!
  • Predictive Intelligence Final Exam